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华商基金发布报告解读2017中央经济工作会议

来源: 南方日报网络版     时间: 2019年06月27日 18:01:45
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(原)(标)(题)(:华)(商)(基)(金)(发)(布)(报)(告)(解)(读)(2017中)(央)(经)(济)(工)(作)(会)(议)(
中)(央)(经)(济)(工)(作)(会)(议)(于)(2017年)(12月)(18日)(至)(20日)(在)(北)(京)(举)(行)(。华)(商)(基)(金)(策)(略)(研)(究)(员)(张)(博)(炜)(就)(此)(对)(本)(次)(2017经)(济)(工)(作)(会)(议)(的)(内)(容)(及)(变)(化)(进)(行)(了)(解)(读)(。
总)(需)(求)(的)(重)(要)(性)(有)(所)(降)(低)(,在)(优)(化)(财)(政)(支)(出)(结)(构)(的)(要)(求)(下)(,基)(建)(托)(底)(的)(力)(度)(或)(有)(所)(减)(弱)(。
本)(次)(会)(议)(公)(报)(删)(去)(了)(适)(度)(扩)(大)(总)(需)(求)(的)(说)(法)(,只)(保)(留)(了)(经)(济)(运)(行)(在)(合)(理)(区)(间)(的)(要)(求)(,由)(此)(华)(商)(基)(金)(策)(略)(研)(究)(员)(张)(博)(炜)(判)(断)(2018年)(投)(资)(托)(底)(的)(力)(度)(及)(必)(要)(性)(可)(能)(会)(有)(所)(下)(降)(,政)(府)(工)(作)(报)(告)(中)(或)(仍)(将)(提)(出)(6.5%左)(右)(的)(GDP增)(长)(目)(标)(。
在)(财)(政)(政)(策)(方)(面)(,本)(次)(调)(整)(优)(化)(财)(政)(支)(出)(结)(构)(,确)(保)(对)(重)(点)(领)(域)(和)(项)(目)(的)(支)(持)(力)(度)(的)(表)(述)(或)(对)(当)(前)(财)(政)(补)(贴)(的)(方)(向)(产)(生)(影)(响)(。华)(商)(基)(金)(张)(博)(炜)(分)(析)(认)(为)(明)(年)(的)(财)(政)(重)(点)(支)(持)(领)(域)(或)(转)(向)(精)(准)(脱)(贫)(、污)(染)(防)(治)(等)(方)(面)(。
整)(体)(来)(看)(,在)(总)(需)(求)(重)(要)(性)(降)(低)(,加)(强)(地)(方)(政)(府)(债)(务)(管)(理)(的)(大)(背)(景)(下)(,明)(年)(基)(建)(托)(底)(的)(力)(度)(或)(有)(所)(减)(弱)(,未)(来)(财)(政)(支)(出)(结)(构)(如)(何)(调)(整)(仍)(需)(要)(持)(续)(关)(注)(,华)(商)(基)(金)(策)(略)(研)(究)(员)(张)(博)(炜)(建)(议)(关)(注)(新)(能)(源)(车)(地)(方)(补)(贴)(调)(整)(的)(相)(关)(风)(险)(。
防)(范)(化)(解)(重)(大)(风)(险)(为)(三)(大)(攻)(坚)(战)(之)(首)(,处)(置)(风)(险)(的)(风)(险)(或)(被)(关)(注)(。
华)(商)(基)(金)(张)(博)(炜)(判)(断)(2017工)(作)(经)(济)(会)(议)(对)(防)(风)(险)(强)(调)(的)(方)(向)(是)(做)(好)(重)(点)(领)(域)(风)(险)(防)(范)(和)(处)(置)(,相)(对)(于)(去)(年)(的)(“下)(决)(心)(处)(置)(一)(批)(风)(险)(点)(”来)(说)(较)(为)(温)(和)(,处)(置)(风)(险)(的)(风)(险)(或)(被)(关)(注)(。
在)(化)(解)(风)(险)(方)(面)(,本)(次)(会)(议)(更)(多)(侧)(重)(于)(坚)(决)(打)(击)(违)(法)(违)(规)(金)(融)(活)(动)(和)(加)(强)(薄)(弱)(环)(节)(监)(管)(制)(度)(建)(设)(方)(面)(,和)(去)(年)(的)(着)(力)(防)(控)(资)(产)(泡)(沫)(相)(比)(有)(所)(不)(同)(。结)(合)(前)(期)(“更)(充)(分)(地)(讨)(论)(改)(革)(过)(程)(中)(的)(风)(险)(,将)(对)(资)(管)(新)(规)(最)(终)(落)(地)(形)(成)(有)(益)(建)(议)(”的)(表)(述)(,华)(商)(基)(金)(张)(博)(炜)(认)(为)(对)(于)(金)(融)(监)(管)(的)(后)(续)(发)(展)(,部)(委)(出)(台)(的)(细)(则)(内)(容)(会)(相)(对)(缓)(和)(。
深)(化)(供)(给)(侧)(结)(构)(性)(改)(革)(仍)(是)(首)(要)(任)(务)(,化)(解)(过)(剩)(产)(能)(仍)(是)(重)(点)(工)(作)(。
华)(商)(基)(金)(张)(博)(炜)(指)(出)(,在)(要)(素)(市)(场)(化)(配)(置)(改)(革)(层)(面)(,本)(次)(经)(济)(工)(作)(会)(议)(仍)(然)(首)(先)(提)(出)(将)(破)(除)(无)(效)(供)(给)(、处)(置)(僵)(尸)(企)(业)(,整)(体)(上)(对)(于)(去)(产)(能)(的)(要)(求)(及)(督)(导)(或)(不)(会)(放)(松)(,当)(前)(供)(给)(侧)(改)(革)(的)(积)(极)(成)(效)(有)(望)(延)(续)(。公)(报)(提)(出)(要)(大)(力)(培)(育)(新)(动)(能)(,强)(化)(科)(技)(创)(新)(,推)(动)(传)(统)(产)(业)(优)(化)(升)(级)(,培)(育)(一)(批)(具)(有)(创)(新)(能)(力)(的)(排)(头)(兵)(企)(业)(,重)(点)(提)(到)(了)(积)(极)(推)(进)(军)(民)(融)(合)(深)(度)(发)(展)(。
未)(来)(民)(参)(军)(、军)(转)(民)(等)(军)(民)(资)(源)(共)(享)(的)(模)(式)(将)(有)(望)(持)(续)(完)(善)(,未)(来)(随)(着)(科)(研)(院)(所)(改)(制)(等)(积)(极)(因)(素)(不)(断)(落)(地)(,优)(秀)(的)(民)(参)(军)(相)(关)(标)(的)(及)(受)(益)(于)(军)(品)(定)(价)(改)(革)(的)(主)(机)(厂)(企)(业)(有)(望)(持)(续)(受)(益)(。
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